About Prismora

What is Prismora?

A decision-support dashboard for crypto prediction markets — built for traders who want a data-backed second opinion, not a black box.

Binance K-lines→AI forecasting model→Direction classification→Window resolution→Accuracy tracking

What Is Prismora

Prismora is a public analytics dashboard designed for participants in prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict. It runs a consistent AI forecasting model on major crypto assets around the clock, logs every directional prediction before the window opens, then records the actual market outcome after the window closes.

The goal is simple: give you a transparent, trackable signal you can factor into your own decisions. The model will not be right every time — no model is. But it gives you something more reliable than a gut feeling: a stable baseline with a documented track record you can inspect, compare, and decide how much to trust. There are no accounts, no paywall, and no personalized recommendations. Every prediction, every result, and every accuracy metric is visible to everyone.

How It Helps You

When a new Polymarket or Predict market opens on a crypto price move, you now have three options: follow the signal if the model shows Upward Bias with strong recent accuracy on that asset and interval; fade the signal if the model has been struggling lately or confidence is low; or use it as a tiebreaker when you are genuinely uncertain.

The dashboard shows you win streaks, loss streaks, accuracy by confidence bucket, and simulated bankroll curves — exactly the information you need to judge how much weight to give the signal on any given day. Prismora uses a Transformer-based time-series forecasting model that receives recent Binance K-line data, estimates the next window's closing price, and classifies the result as Upward Bias, Downward Bias, or Neutral Bias. Each prediction is generated before the window opens and locked in.

Simulation Rules

The simulated bankroll curves start at $100. For each resolved directional window, the simulation applies a $1 fixed stake. A correct direction adds $1. An incorrect direction subtracts $1. Neutral windows make no change.

This is a simplified scorekeeping method — it does not represent real Polymarket odds, fees, spreads, or settlement mechanics. Real prediction markets have variable odds. Use the simulation to compare model performance over time, not as a literal profit projection.

Data Source

All market prices are sourced from Binance public K-line data. When the live model or upstream data is temporarily unavailable, Prismora switches to Simulation Mode and displays a banner. Simulation Mode output should not be used for trading decisions.

Limitations

The model cannot anticipate sudden external events: regulatory announcements, exchange outages, protocol incidents, or macro shocks. Shorter windows (5m) have lower signal-to-noise than longer ones (1h). Past accuracy does not guarantee future performance. This dashboard is informational — all decisions and their consequences remain yours.